Severe mortgage stress spreads to Sydney's affluent suburbs

Three Sydney postcodes rank among Australia's fastest-rising severe mortgage stress hotspots, with Bilgola leading the nation

Severe mortgage stress spreads to Sydney's affluent suburbs

Severe mortgage stress is no longer concentrated in Sydney's outer western suburbs, with data from the latest OurTop10 Mortgage Stress Report showing affluent postcodes are among the fastest-rising hotspots nationally.

Greater Sydney's 10 hardest-hit postcodes now contain 90,156 households in mortgage stress, with eight of those postcodes recording an increase in financial pressure during the second quarter of 2026.

Total stressed households — Q1 vs Q2 2026
 
End Q1 2026
 
End Q2 2026
Melbourne 85,692 → 94,461
 
 
Sydney 82,770 → 90,156
 
 
Brisbane & QLD 65,075 → 74,649
 
 
Perth & WA 58,636 → 73,382
 
 
Adelaide & SA 36,642 → 42,072
 
 
Canberra & ACT 16,213 → 17,529
 
 
Hobart & TAS 15,439 → 18,870
 
 
Northern Territory 9,228 → 10,606
 
 
Source: OurTop10 Mortgage Stress Report Q2 2026

The report, which draws on a rolling survey of approximately 52,000 households, ranks Australia's 80 most mortgage-stressed postcodes by household cash flow. A household is classified as being in severe mortgage stress when its cash flow shortfall exceeds 5% of total household income.

Liverpool (2170) continues to hold the highest number of stressed households in New South Wales, with 14,705 households in mortgage stress. Seven of the state's 10 most stressed postcodes fall within Western Sydney local government areas.

The fastest quarterly growth was recorded in Rutherford (2320) in the Hunter Region, where the number of stressed households rose 41% during Q2 2026. Camden (2570) followed with a 28% increase over the same period.

Mansour Soltani of OurTop10"Western Sydney remains the epicentre of mortgage stress simply because so many households bought into the market with large loans over the past decade. Those borrowers are still carrying the greatest burden as higher repayments and living costs continue to squeeze household budgets," said Mansour Soltani (pictured right), director at OurTop10.

"What's changed is that we're now seeing severe mortgage stress emerge in some of Sydney's wealthiest suburbs as well. Larger mortgages mean bigger repayment shocks, proving financial pressure is no longer confined to the city's traditional mortgage stress hotspots."

Severe mortgage stress: top 10 risers nationally — Q2 2026
# Postcode Suburb Market Severe now 3 mos ago Qtr change
1 2107 Bilgola Sydney/NSW 1,715 279 ▲ +515%
2 6159 North Fremantle Perth/WA 603 142 ▲ +325%
3 3188 Hampton Melbourne/VIC 753 199 ▲ +278%
4 6012 Mosman Park Perth/WA 703 305 ▲ +130%
5 2099 Dee Why Sydney/NSW 2,586 1,335 ▲ +94%
6 2068 Castlecrag Sydney/NSW 1,635 845 ▲ +93%
7 3124 Camberwell Melbourne/VIC 1,118 587 ▲ +90%
8 3104 Balwyn North Melbourne/VIC 2,865 1,622 ▲ +77%
9 6152 Karawara (South Perth) Perth/WA 755 434 ▲ +74%
10 3186 Brighton Melbourne/VIC 2,653 1,533 ▲ +73%
Source: OurTop10 Mortgage Stress Report Q2 2026. 

Bilgola (2107) on the Northern Beaches recorded the largest increase in severe mortgage stress of any postcode nationally, with affected households rising 515% in a single quarter — from 279 to 1,715. Two other Northern Beaches and North Shore postcodes also appeared in the national top 10 for severe stress growth. Dee Why (2099) recorded a 94% increase, while Castlecrag (2068) rose 93%.

Three affluent Sydney suburbs rank among Australia's top 10 postcodes for severe mortgage stress growth, according to the report.

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